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Does Seasonal Financial Trading Actually Work?

Many of us are curious as to how and why the markets move as they do. Some so called experts will claim you can never beat the markets as they are purely random.

However is this really true? Are they really saying that the financial markets are not influenced by classic human behaviour. The markets after all are not themselves computer driven, they may of course be automated for trade entries and exits but at the end of the day it is still a human that will make the decision to buy or sell a particular market. And as we know all humans are prone to making decisions based on greed and fear.

Of course the major institutions play a major part in making markets move in one direction or another simply by the amount they move into a market whether it be a selection of stocks and shares or other alternatives. The times when the institutions or big money players move their money into and out of any market can on many occasions be very easy to see and is often what we would term seasonal.

Some very interesting studies have been carried out over the years into so called seasonal trading.

Seasonal trading studies the movements of any market and attempts to derive trends from those movements sometimes on a daily, weekly monthly, quarterly or even yearly basis. However is there anything really in this analysis?

From the examples we have seen we would have to say yes. From studying virtually any market it is quite easy to see some clear and repeated trends from the pre Christmas rises seen in many indices from October up to the end of December through to Commodities being bought and sold at key times in the year.

So if there is all this evidence of seasonal movements why doesn’t everyone use it?

Well simply because it is just another tool for a trader to use and many traders have a fixed idea in their own minds as to what works and what doesn’t.

Many traders only trade the Forex market believing that it is the only market to trade. Others may like to trade indices like the FTSE100 or Dow Jones. Others love to trade stocks or shares and some base there decisions on fundamentals or technical analysis and don’t actually care that much what market or company they are trading.

So you can see very quickly with so much information out there, that it’s not surprising why seasonal trading isn’t given much air time. All we would say is take a look yourself and make your own mind up. You maybe pleasantly surprised what you find.

The best products to take advantage of seasonal trading are Financial Fixed Odds products as offered by companies such as betonmarkets and also binary bets and binary options.

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Nowadays everyone seems to be talking a few new profitable activity known as Forex trading and the nice opportunity this activity represents for people willing to brake free from the corporate world and begin working from dwelling or any the place else without losing their current lifestyle and even improving it.

Most experienced traders take into account that the best and most worthwhile of the capital markets is the Forex market. For a few years Forex trading was the only real domain of main banks, giant financial institutions and international locations central banks; for example the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank. However lately, thanks to the internet the market has been opened to everyone willing to study the best methods in foreign currency trading and with the intention of creating substantial income as the establishments mentioned above that yearly and consistently make pretty high profits from buying and selling within the Foreign Exchange market.

You could have many benefits when trading the forex markets, for example; you do not have to fret about charges you might have to pay to your broker; there are additionally none of the normal charges to which futures and fairness merchants are accustomed to pay always; no trade or clearing fees, no NFA or SEC fees.

The forex market has five major currencies: US Dollar, Japanese Yen, British Pound, Euro and the Swiss Franc. It is due to their great recognition in world’s commerce transactions and its high exercise that these 5 currencies account for over 70% of North American trading. In fact there are different tradable currencies; they include the Canadian, Australian and New Zealand Dollars. These minor currencies account for 4% – 7% of the overall market volume. Collectively, all this 5 majors and minors currencies represent the backbone of the Forex market.

The idea of “Buying” in Foreign exchange refers to the acquisition of a specific currency pair to open a trade and “Promoting short” refers to the selling of a particular forex to open a trade, i.e, just the opposite. While you Purchase, you are expecting the price of the currency pair to extend with time, i.e., you purchase low-cost to promote high; which is simple to understand. Within the case of Promoting brief, it appears to be like a bit extra complicated. Right here the way to generate profits is to initially promote a currency pair that you simply assume will lose worth in a given time frame after which, once it happened, you’ll purchase it back on the new value but now you’ll be able to promote it on the previous higher worth the currency had while you opened the trade, so you earn the difference in prices. It may appear kind of tough when you are starting, but as soon as you’re in front of your forex trading station it should look much simpler.

In order to manage your emotions effectively when trading, you need to create a written plan that you can review regularly to stay focused on your goal of trading success. By writing down your plan, you put yourself in the top 3% of individuals who have written goals and plans, giving you an immediate edge on most traders. Make sure you have answered below questions:

1) How will you enter trades? The key to good entries is putting on trades where there is relatively low risk compared to much higher reward. You should also write down a clear catalyst for the expected stock move.

2) How will you exit trades? You should define an initial stop point for your trade, at the point where the trend is invalidated. You will also need a ‘trailing stop’ technique to protect your profits.

3) What type of orders will you use to enter and exit? When entering, I like to use limit orders, good for the day only, while exits are often market orders. Why? Because limit orders allow me to define my risk and reward clearly on the entry of a trade, while when I need to get out, market orders allow immediate exit compared to the risk of missing my exit with a limit order.

4) How much capital will you need to trade successfully? There are economies of scale as you increase the amount of capital you trade with. Costs related to commissions, quote systems and equipment begin to diminish as the percentage of capital invested goes up.

5) What percentage of your capital will you invest in each trade? The amount of capital I typically use is 10% per trade in my own accounts. I know traders who commit anywhere from 5% of their account per trade, to 20% of their account per trade. Your goal should be to keep portfolio risk per trade at less than 2% per trade. For example, if you invest 20% of your portfolio in a trade, a 10% loss on that position would lead to a 2% loss on your portfolio.

6) How many positions will you focus on at once? I like to concentrate my portfolio on my best ideas, plus I like to stay focused on how each stock is acting. If my portfolio is too big (I’d say more than seven stocks is too many to focus on), then I will lose focus and invariably miss an exit on a trade that I should have previously exited.

7) What will your Trading Journal look like? In my Trading Journal, I note daily observations, particularly related to my ability to execute my trading plan. I also commit to doing a post-trade analysis every month. I note what I did right and wrong, and seek to learn from mistakes to minimize future errors in similar circumstances, while also looking for winning patterns where I seek to repeat big successes.

8) What is your Position Review process? I suggest you have an end-of-day routine to close your day. Review your trades, and assess if you followed your plan. Keep a log of all your trades, and make comments on each position.

9) What is your Preparation process before trading? You need defined time to prepare for the next trading day and build up your trading confidence. I prepare after the close for the next day’s trading, which allows me to formulate a plan of action BEFORE I get into the heat of battle. This keeps my trading proactive instead of reactive.

10) What broker will you use? Most traders mistakenly think that commissions are the number one factor they can control. In reality, commissions are a small cost compared to the broker’s effectiveness at executing your trade. Your focus should be finding a broker who gets you speedy and fair execution of your orders.

Once you have defined these facets of your trading plan, you are in an excellent position to have a strategy to control your emotions when trading. Make sure to review your plan on a regular basis to create effective trading habits.

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What Is Foreign exchange or Foreign exchange Market?

The Foreign Exchange market (additionally referred to as the Foreign exchange or FX market) is the largest financial market on this planet, with over $1.5 trillion changing arms each day.

That’s bigger than all US equity and Treasury markets combined!

In contrast to other monetary markets that operate at a centralized location (i.e. stock change), the worldwide Foreign exchange market has no central location. It is a international electronic community of banks, financial institutions and particular person traders, all concerned in the buying and promoting of nationwide currencies. Another main feature of the Forex market is that it operates 24 hours a day, akin to the opening and shutting of monetary facilities in countries all the world over, starting each day in Sydney, then Tokyo, London and New York. At any time, in any location, there are patrons and sellers, making the Forex market probably the most liquid market within the world.

Traditionally, access to the Forex market has been made out there solely to banks and other large monetary institutions. With advances in know-how through the years, nevertheless, Forex is now obtainable to everybody, from banks to cash managers to individual traders buying and selling retail accounts. The time to get entangled in this exciting, international market has never been better than now. Open an account and develop into an active player within the largest market on the planet.

The Foreign exchange Market could be very completely different than trading currencies on the futures market, and rather a lot simpler, than buying and selling shares or commodities.

Whether or not you are aware of it or not, you already play a role in the Foreign exchange market. The easy truth that you’ve got cash in your pocket makes you an investor in forex, significantly within the US Dollar. By holding US Dollars, you’ve gotten elected to not maintain the currencies of other nations. Your purchases of stocks, bonds or different investments, along with cash deposited in your bank account, characterize investments that rely heavily on the integrity of the worth of their denominated currency ¨the US Dollar. As a result of changing worth of the US Dollar and the ensuing fluctuations in trade charges, your investments may change in worth, affecting your total financial status. With this in mind, it should be no surprise that many investors have taken advantage of the fluctuation in Trade Charges, utilizing the volatility of the Foreign Exchange market as a solution to enhance their capital.

Example: suppose you had $one thousand and acquired Euros when the trade rate was 1.50 Euros to the dollar. You’d then have 1500 Euros. If the value of Euros towards the US greenback increased then you definately would promote (alternate) your Euros for dollars and have extra dollars than you began with.

Example:

You might see the following:

EUR/USD final commerce 1.5000 means
One Euro is price $1.50 US dollars.

The first foreign money (on this instance, the Euro) is known as the base currency and the second (/USD) because the counter or quote currency.

The Forex performs a significant position on the planet economic system and there’ll at all times be an amazing want for the exchange of currencies. Worldwide commerce increases as expertise and communication increases. So long as there’s worldwide trade, there might be a Forex market. The FX market has to exist so a rustic like Germany can promote merchandise within the United States and be capable to receive Euros in alternate for US Dollar.

Risk Warning:

Risks of forex buying and selling

Margined currency trading is a particularly risky type of investment and is only suitable for individuals and establishments capable of dealing with the potential losses it entails. An account with an broker lets you trade foreign exchange on a highly leveraged basis (as much as about four hundred instances your account fairness).The funds in an account that is trading at maximum leverage may be fully misplaced if the position(s) held within the account experiences even a one percent swing in value. Given the opportunity of losing one’s whole funding, hypothesis in the overseas change market should solely be carried out with danger capital funds that, if misplaced, is not going to considerably affect the investors financial effectively-being.

The idea of automated Forex trading system is thoughts-catching.

Sooner than the automation of Forex, commerce-traded futures market was the primary to switch on automation. Then, the merchants on the Interbank spot FX market decided to meet up with the newest development and moved too to the model new system.

Automated Foreign currency trading system enables retailers to execute their commerce on spot Foreign exchange market routinely and anytime of the day, based totally on present technical indicators and customized buying and promoting rules. There are various choices included within the automated trading system, resembling:

• Computerized trailing stops particularly if the dealer is dropping in a selected commerce position;
• Account equity management;
• Cease and/or restrict orders;
• Discretionary market orders; and
• Various technical evaluation indicators inside your discretion for enabling growth-following systems.

Automated International forex trading programs helps a whole lot of the following indicators (the technical assistance will depend upon the know-how used as well as the accessible options of the system):

• WMA (weighted transferring average);
• EMA (exponential transferring frequent);
• SMA (simple shifting common);
• VMA (variable moving average);
• TMA (triangular shifting common);
• TSMA (time sequence transferring common);
• WATR (wilder’s common true vary);
• VHF (vertical horizontal filter);
• Customary deviation;
• Trailing stops;
• Mass index;
• Mounted limits and stops, and others.

The success of the automation course of to Foreign exchange is attributed to several components, corresponding to the following:

• Its means to carry out or execute trades in precise time. Due to the automation, a trader can close trades inside a few milliseconds. It is unimaginable in handbook packages, as earlier trades are often closed after a variety of hours. As well as, there are moreover circumstances whereby a trader incurs a variety of losses in a row that forestalls him from making any fresh transactions. Thus, with automated Overseas foreign money trading system, this downside may possibly be avoided.

• Its means to bigger diversification. With automated trading system now in place, a supplier can commerce in assorted native in addition to worldwide markets inside various time zones. In numerous phrases, you probably can place commerce or close offers with completely different merchants from various markets world extensive even on the center of the night.

• Its potential to research quick-time period data. This feature is simply not accessible in handbook buying and promoting system. Thus, traders using automated system have the larger benefit since they will predict market traits in decrease than an hour.

If you will consolidate the features in addition to some great benefits of automated International forex buying and selling system, it offers you a robust conclusion: with Foreign exchange on automation, you will be able to place extra trades on a single day, thus rising the widespread quantity trades daily.

To extra make clear the conclusion. Permit us to take the following situation: If you’re buying and selling using the handbook system, you’ll uncover that it takes time earlier than a supplier confirms if he will settle for your deal or not. He’ll look obtainable in the marketplace state of affairs first as well as the alternate price of the currencies that you just’re shopping for and promoting with. Thus, if it takes time before a transaction will in all probability be finalized; there can be fewer trade volumes.

Now, if you are utilizing the automated Foreign currency trading system, the analysis of trade charges and market circumstances may very well be performed inside a few minutes, since International change information at the moment are up to date in actual time. Probably after lower than an hour, it is potential for you to to take your home whether or not you’ll push by the use of the deal or not. If a Overseas alternate transaction per dealer is averaging within an hour, a single dealer can place as a lot as eight trades within the frequent buying and selling hours (if he is following the day trading schedule) and additional trades previous the common buying and selling hours. There are actually hundreds of merchants in only a single market who can place such average number of commerce per day. Combining it with the number of Foreign exchange markets world huge, the determine is just monumental enough.

In addition to, the know-how is changing repeatedly, thus there is a tendency that the average number of trades per day will enhance, thus a risk of elevated commerce volumes on each day basis. With sooner trade execution, that might be a sure possibility.

Be thankful, Foreign exchange is now on the helm of automation. Transactions in the intervening time are quicker, and incomes money by Forex trading is now easier.

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Forex Bulletproof is a software / EA (expert advisor) that cleverly trades automatically and aims for a steady 5% monthly gain. No unrealistic 1000% a month gains, but SAFE and stable income that has never failed over the course of the last 6 years.!!

People became tired of all of the nonworking scams that might work for a couple of weeks or even a month and then “ding ding” Margin call!

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The robot is worth its weight in gold

These extra features are amazing!!

Introducing….

The Forex BulletProof: High Voltage ADD-ON
This little gem goes in the other direction and is a HIGH RISK / HIGH REWARD trading robot that is easily capable of doubling depositis in a matter of days.

To use it you need a secondary brokerage account where you can withdraw the high returns frequently and put them into the regular Forex BulletProof trading system to increase his base capital faster.

The risk of losing the deposit is there but the chance of doubling it is greater (about 72%) so once doubled, the gain has to be relocated to the stable base package.

The Forex BulletProof: Market Dominator ADD-ON
Being in control can be very important… especially when you decide to trade forex on the side or manually.

The Market Dominator supplement consists of the world’s best manual trading systems from a recent competition.

Those systems have been successfully used by real live forex traders to dish in up to 1000% a month in trading… of course they didn’t trade with thousands of dollars, but their systems are extremly well thought through and if you want to trade forex by yourself, next to the gains of Forex Bulletproof and the High Voltage ADD-ON, this is the way to go.

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There is an ever growing need for a good forex trading system that is completely based on the weaponry and tools of the technical trend analysis. And if it is so, then what makes a difference for those who want to trade gold or want to trade the EURUSD with this underlying forex trading system. The cold fact is that even though the wheels of fundamental analysis roll in a completely different way in case of commodity trading an in case of the forex market but if you take a closer look at both of them from a technical point of view then you will clearly see that pretty much the same principles apply and predominate.

Moreover, what you see as a high potential entry sign on the chart of any currency pair may indicate you the very same action on the graph of silver, oil, corn or copper. Try to imagine what the technical analysts may search for on a graph and tend to implement it into your very own forex trading system. If you can manege to soft tune your own forex strategy to the different markets than you can have a weapon to shoot at all the markets and if you do a good job than it will prove to be working for you in the forex market and in the commodity market as well. I can even tell you a more exciting fact though. It will also work for the stock market and the the market of national bonds also because it is exactly the same technical set-up’s that will drive the price movements.

I know of a system that incorporates the potential to trade multiple markets from one platform. I am quite sure that there are many forex trading systems with the same purpose but there was only one so far that has worked out for me and what I could handle with a reasonable fluency from the very beginning. This system was called the Stealth Forex Trading System and you may find more information on the product and the logic behind at the website www.stealthforex.com where essential information concerning the strategy can be found. There must be dozens of other systems that can be equally good and also well-functioning but this was the one that impressed me the most.

Anyways, if you believe that technical analysis is the key to your financial goals and the most important motive for you to become a successful trader then go to google and dig for a appealing forex trading system which will meet your requirements and which can be tuned in a way that the same logic would apply to multiple instruments.

Keep in mind that the different markets are like different rooms in a big club where DJ’s play different music in the different halls. People are dancing in all of the rooms pretty much the same way (this is the technical analysis) but they are still a little bit distinctive from each other (that is your self-tuned strategy). You have to find a proper combination of the two but a good forex trading system is very likely to be capable of handling this matter.

Now all you have to do is to find the strategy that will serve this purpose but this will be the topic of my upcoming post soon.

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So the question any more is not if brokers make profit from forex trading competitions or not. The correct question is as follows: What do they make their profit from and how do they turn the information piles into real money at the end of the contest?

Naturally, nothing is as simple as it seems to be for the first sight. And no one knows it better than us, who have likely tried out dozens of forex trading systems already. Anyways, that is quite obvious that after the trading rally gets over the sales representatives of the company start calling and emailing and contacting the competing traders in every single possible way. They must be doing it quickly because in case the service provided throughout the trading competition was of quality then traders may decide to switch broker and transfer their funds to the new firm that they have just had a good impression with. Most of the traders make their decisions about choosing the broker based on emotional reasoning.

The sales team probably cannot succeed with every single trader who took part in the contest of the forex trading systems and the sales cannot manage to turn every single contestor into company clients. And let’s be honest here: It is a 100 percent sure that best offers will also be declined due to a great variety of reasons but brokers will naturally not accept refusal immediately. They will go after the clients and so the marketing campaign takes off with news letters, special offers, discounts, educational material and so on. They will leave need no stone unturned to pull in new clients.

Okay, so is customer acquisition the major drive for brokerage firms to hold forex trading competitions? And my answer is still NO although, this is, indeed, a great opportunity for the broker to increase the number of its clientele. Although, in this case the question arises: What else on Earth would motivate a brokerage firm to organize these competitions for forex trading systems? I will reveal the real facts now.

Brokers, competition and ranking. These are all very important factors in the success formula, although not for the clients only but they are also very important for the brokers themselves. But why would a broker care about the ranking if client acquisition is its only reason? The truth is that brokers use trade competition as a great filter for the good forex trading systems. They see every single transaction, they see every trading balance and they are aware of every trader’s logic. They see and control everything throughout the entire time length of the competition.

And after the final ranking has been formed and the contest is over the brokers will start to have deep and detailed conversations with those who scored the most pips in the game. They see the trades anyways, but many times they do not understand the trading method behind so they offer jobs and money for the user of the winning strategy to have him reveal his secret. Strategies sometimes can be very easily decoded but chances are that brokers will come across with a powerful but very complicated forex trading system which the are unable to comprehend so personal talks with the user of it may seem to be a good idea. These conversations may be mutually beneficial for both parties or effort completely down the drain.

So I personally believe that recording the best yielding forex trading systems plays an equally important role for the brokers to hold these contests. From the perspective of a broker competitions are a big game room where masses of traders aim at getting in and some of them have a secret that brokers would like to use up in the future. If the broker finds a good forex trading system in the chaotic, turbulent and deranged jungle of traders then that is definitely worth the effort taken to organize the contest itself.

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We all know that forex brokers like to hold competitions for the growing number of desperate forex trading titans. On the other hand people like to enter these competition and to take part in such an exciting rally for forex trading systems systems and strategies. Seemingly this is a win-win situation as both parties get what they need. But if we look behind the intention and drive of the parties in the game, namely the brokerage firms and the traders, we will find completely different motives and goals.

Before we dig into the depth of these fierce competitions of men and forex trading systems we have to see clearly the 2 different types of competitions:

1.With real money:
- Traders tend to be more risk-averse and disciplined due to the fact that they put their own money at risk.
- This type brings real financial income and profits to the brokerage firms as real market transactions occur.
- Fewer people join in but we can call them real traders and not adventurers only.

2.With simulation money:
- Traders are willing to take more risk in order to get into the upper part of ranking therefore they make transactions which they never would under real life circumstances.
- Broker does not have real income from the trades of competing players as every account is fueled with demo money.
- Great masses of people join these events but a great deal of them are adrenalin seekers and not real traders.

It is easier to apprehend what factors motivate the traders society to join these trade competitions. They can be testing a broker and the service it provides to customers. Other traders would aim at learning the interface and the use of trading platforms. There are some traders who belong to the group of slow-walkers and they would like to see the mechanism of trading with the broker before opening a live account to see how their forex trading system would do. The list of reasons for traders to enter into these competition is endless.

In the first case when traders are willing to open a real account and take part in the game and compete for valuable prizes – the competition resembles to the taste of live trades, although competing parties are likely to take less precaution and make balder moves than they would do otherwise.

In the second case when it is all about game money the feeling of stress and pressure is not a real issue so the trading atmosphere is quite accommodating throughout the game. The goal of the traders is not to make more money and tranfer that to their bank accounts but to test a broker, analyze a forex trading system or play for the joy of the game.

Okay, but what makes the brokerage firms to organize these games? Do they want to promote themselves and get the list of potential future customers? Is it really the buzz that they want to achieve? The answer is NO!
Brokers have a more secret reason which is far away from being obvious to the great masses of people. And what is this reason exactly? I will tell you in the second part of my article the next time.

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Markets often move remarkably quickly and this volatility especially in uncertain times can leave new traders with a massive headache and substantial losses.

There is of course fortunately an excellent alternative in the form of financial fixed odds trading and more especially binary trading with products such as binary bets and binary options.

Although they are relatively new to the world of trading they are now becoming recognised as a real and viable alternative to derivative products like spread betting and futures and here are some key reasons why.

Firstly products such as spread-betting or futures are open to unlimited losses, hence the need for stoplosses. The problem with this, of course, is that in volatile, or even fairly moderately moving markets, if your stop is hit your trade ends often with a significant loss. You don’t want to place your stop too close to current market action or too far away which is often a very difficult balance to strike.

With binary bets / binary options you don’t need to bother with stoplosses at all. Binary trading products protect you from any volatility as the amount you win or lose is known from the outset of the trade and cannot change. Yes let’s just repeat that, it doesn’t matter how much the markets move against you, you can only lose the agreed amount.

Secondly binary bets and binary options require a low account size, often a fraction of a leveraged account like a spread betting or futures account.

Thirdly these products can be applied to many of the major world indices over time periods preferred by the trader. So a binary bet / binary option can be placed for a single day, a week or longer with indices such as the: FTSE 100, Dow Jones, Hang Seng, Australian Index to name just a few. They can equally be applied to Forex markets and pairs such as the British Pound versus the US Dollar and the Euro versus the US Dollar and other currencies. Other markets available for binary trading include individual share markets such as Barclays and Commodities such as Gold and Oil.

Finally binary trading products allow you trade per point like spread-betting and futures. However unlike these products binary trading offers much lower risk as the amount won or lost is fully disclosed before any trade is entered.

A binary trade whether it be a binary bet or binary option is priced on a scale of 0 – 100. You are quoted say a price of 40 and this would be the cost of the trade. If you win you would win 100 minus 40 being 60 times your per point figure. So if we chose $5 per point we would win 60 times $5 being $300. However unlike other products we would have a maximum loss of the cost being 40, times $5 being $200.

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