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Short Selling Stocks

Most people know that you buy stocks and wait for a price appreciation to take place in order to make a capital gain. Can you make a capital gain when there is price depreciation in your stocks? Many beginning investors get confused when they realize that it is possible to make money when the stock falls in price. In practice, shorting a stock is as easy as buying stocks once you get hang of it. When the market is falling, investors sell short a stock with the goal of profiting from the fall in the price of that stock.

Short selling is confusing for new traders. It shouldn’t be. It is simple. The difference between the selling price and the buying price in case the price goes down is your profit. You borrow a stock from your broker and sell it with the intention of buying it back at a lower price in the near term future and returning it to your broker when you short a stock. With short selling a stock, you make profit when the price of a stock goes down. You are anticipating further fall in the price of the stock when you short a stock. However, if the price of the stock instead of going down starts to go up, you get a loss. It all depends how well your prediction about the stock price was. If you can predict the direction of the stock price very well, you can become a great trader.

YouTube Preview ImageMany people are afraid of short selling stocks. They are right to some extent. Theoretically a stock price can go up and up making your loss as big as infinity. In such a scenario, your loss can be infinite. So shorting a stock without proper risk and money management is not wise. However, before that happens most probably you will receive a margin call from your broker that leads to a forced sale before your losses reach unmanageable proportions. Short selling can play havoc with companies. If there is a short selling attack on a company’s stock by speculators, the company can easily go bankrupt. This is precisely what happened in 2008. Short sellers were responsible for bringing many blue chip companies down. In the stock market crash of 2008, many financial companies went bankrupt due to the short selling of their shares by the speculators. Some people are against the strategy of shorting stocks. A temporary ban was put on shorting for sometime during that period.

Swing trading is all about looking for making a quick profit by riding the trend in the market for a few days to a few weeks. In swing trading, we are simply looking to profit from the ups and downs of stock prices. When the price of a stock goes down, short selling is the best swing trading strategy. However, the goal of short selling is not to drive the price of a stock to zero and put the company out of business. Stock prices are highly susceptible to negative news. Negative news like poor earning, credit rating downgrade or a poor product launch can bring down a stock price in a matter of minutes and wipe out the steady gains made in months. One reason why swing traders love short selling is due to the velocity of the moves! Stock prices plunge when negative news is released.

Short selling is an integral part of options writing. Short selling is also used in portfolio risk management. Shot selling can be a good hedging strategy for long term investors too. So if you a long term investor, you can lessen the impact of the sharp price drop on your portfolio by using a short selling hedging strategy. Swing traders always look for big winners and this brings them to the short side of the market. When the price of a stock starts to fall, chances are it will fall more before the market stabilizes and the price starts to rise again. You must be thinking that short selling is counter intuitive. It’s not! Short selling is a way to profit from a falling market. In nutshell in short selling stocks, an investor who is short selling is borrowing stocks from the brokers and selling them to another buyer. At some point, the investor has to buy back the stock ideally at a lower price to make profit and return it to the broker. The sale money goes to the account of the investor.

YouTube Preview ImageYou must be proficient in using technical indicators if you want to become a trader. Without learning technical analysis, you will always be doing trading on your hunches which is a bad thing. Suppose you are using the RSI technical indicator that is giving a crossover sell signal. All signs are pointing towards at least a small pullback. You feel that the stock ABC is overvalued at $60 and at some point in the near future the market will make a correction.

You decide to short 1000 shares of stock ABC. So 1000 shares of stock ABC are sold by your broker at $60 and $60,000 is placed in your account. You had placed an order with your broker to short 1000 shares of ABC stock at $60. Over the next week, but now you are jittery as the stock ABC instead of going down climbs to $65. Stock prices can go up as well as down. Technical indicators can give you a likely direction of the market but they are never 100% right. Did you cater for the situation when the stock price rises instead of falling? However, you have catered for this eventuality by placing a stop loss at 10% of your account. This comes out to be $6,000. So the stop loss is not triggered and you are still in the market hoping for the price to stop going up.

Before entering a trade, you must always decide a loss level that you are comfortable with if the trade goes against you. You are prepared to lose $6,000 in anticipation of a stock price tumble as your technical indicators are giving you the sell signals. If the price goes up to $66, your stop loss will be triggered and you will be out of the market. Every quarter companies are supposed to release their earnings reports. You can time your trade around the release of such a report. Now most earnings mishaps last a few days. So you wait and don’t cover your short position for the next few days. Suddenly on the release of a disappointing earnings report, the stock price tumbles 20% in one day.

YouTube Preview ImageMarket hates sudden surprises. Anything that is already known to the market is already included in the price of the stock. So this negative earnings report was a sudden surprise. You decide to cover your short position, stock ABC price falls to $45. You need to buy back the 100 shares of ABC that were sold short earlier at the market price of $45 in order to close your position. Now should be able to understand short selling as easy as long buying. With this simple example, you should be able to understand the mechanics of short selling stocks. You pay $45,000 to buy back 1000 shares of stock ABC and return them to your broker. So your net profit in this case is $60,000-$45,000= $15,000.

Short selling and long buying are the exact opposites of each other. Assume that you had bought the stocks for $45 per share and sold them at $60 per share, the same profit would have been made. In reality, you paid $45 per share to buy ABC stocks and sold them at $60 per share giving you a profit of $15 per share. The goal is to sell it at a higher price but in the case of short selling stocks, selling takes place first instead of buying when you short a stock. The goal of buying a stock is to sell it at a higher price in the future. Do you want to try short selling now?

 

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Trading Systems

Traders use different approaches in their trading. There are always advantages and disadvantages of different systems. Majority of successful traders use self developed mechanical trading systems. The majority of unsuccessful traders depend on discrete trading method. Besides the many traders using their own developed trading systems, there are many actively developed trading systems for sale as computer programs also known as Expert Advisors or Robots. Theses robots vary widely in prices from a few hundred dollars to a few hundred thousand dollars.

The significant advantage of these computer programs is that they generate signals. These signals can be used by the trader for trading. Sometimes these computer programs are developed for a certain bank or a corporation. The discrete trading method used by many traders is like an artist trying to adapt to different market conditions and using flexibility and tactics corresponding to the particular market condition. The main disadvantage of the discrete trading approach is the unstable trade results due to the stress factor influencing the trader. The traders mood and health can greatly affect the outcome of each trade.

Using a mechanical trading system almost completely removes the influences of the stress factor. It also reduces the negative pressure on a trader which is obviously a big plus. However, it prevents the trader from quick adjustment of trade tactics and strategies under changing market conditions. It also doesn’t allow the quick customization of the trading system in cases like the change of the account size. There are eight requirements that any ideal trading systems should fulfill.

1. It should allow for the maximum adjustment to any traders psychological character.

2. The trading system should depend on trading methods that are universal. It should not depend on a particular market condition at any moment of time.

3. It should be simple, logical and depend on understandable ready to use elements and units.

4. The trading system should provide specific price signals for the trader to open and close positions at the levels chosen some time in advance.

5. The trading system must allow some room for the traders creativity.

6. Without violating its main principles and elements of the trading system, there should be some flexibility to modernize. The trading system should adjust in accordance with the changing market conditions.

7. The trading system should relieve the trader from emotional and psychological stress in trading.

8. It should be customizable so that different traders can use the same method.

No one trading system can fulfill all these requirements. Change of market conditions could lead to negative results from a previously effective trading system. The only way of satisfying these conditions is through developing a diversified trading system consisting of a set of systems that can be used as the basis for specific trade tactics at any given moment. Trade systems based on these requirements could be complex and adjustable.

You need to develop your own trading system overtime. Using someone else’s trading system won’t help if you really want to become a successful trader. At one point in your trading career that might come soon rather than later, you would want to switch over to a mechanical trading system.  Using a mechanical trading system not only helps traders to make decisions and increase profits but it also provides great psychological comfort to the traders. You will also have to develop a systems approach to your trading. You will find most of the traders using a trading system approach to trading. You will realize the necessity of switching over to the system trade in order to lower the psychological pressure experienced when making every market transaction. Some of the traders may use a discrete trading system while others prefer a mechanical trading system. Trading without a system can be stressful.

Once you have a mechanical trading system you can easily develop it into an automated trading system. The mechanical trading system set of rules may be translated into a computer program for automated trading.  However, the mechanical trading system lacks fundamental analysis capacity. With the advancement in computer programming, these automated trading systems have the capability of entering or exiting trades automatically without human intervention. The creator of such a mechanical trading system then becomes just another user of the trading system monitoring the computer generated signals. The trading system then generates trading signals that can be used by traders having access to the trading system.

Developing these automated forex trading systems is the name of the game these days. These automated forex trading systems are also known as forex robots. These trading systems may be taken as grey and black boxes. Their prices might vary from a few hundred dollars to hundred of thousands of dollars. Many traders over their trading careers develop their own trading systems. Besides the traders using their own trading systems, there are now many actively developed trading systems for sale as computer programs. One way is to develop these forex trading systems and use the trading signals generated by them in your trading. The most significant thing about these programs is that the traders should be able to accomplish transactions in accordance with the signals generated by the trading system. The other solution is to completely automate these forex trading systems. Sometimes theses trading systems are developed for big banks and corporations.

However, it is very difficult for a mechanical trading system to cope with different market conditions. This is the most serious flaw in these trading systems. When the market conditions change, these trading systems start generating erroneous trading signals. Majority of the successful individual traders use self developed mechanical trading systems. Change of market behavior leads to negative results from a previously effective trading system which obviously would require replacement. For example, many trading systems that are satisfactory in trending conditions become highly ineffective in nontrending environment. How do you deal with the challenge of changing market situations? This is the most serious challenge that automated forex trading has to solve. One way is to use a diversified forex trading system.

YouTube Preview ImageThese automated trading systems require thorough testing under different market conditions before they can be used in actual trading. One of the ways is to backtest them with the historical market data. Backtesting is now an integral part of any mechanical trading system’s performance evaluation. However, there is no substitute for live performance test. The most common disadvantage of these trading systems is the negative balance between he profitable and unprofitable trades. Many trading systems now depend on complex mathematical formula which is not understandable by the trader if the trader is not the author of the trading system. What you need is a trading system that is profitable in the long term. In other words, it gives more winner than losers. Obviously the trading system can only be profitable in the long run if the ratio of the profitable trades is higher than the non-profitable trades. In other words the average profit of each profitable transaction is greater than the average loss of each unprofitable transaction.

However, as a user of a mechanical trading system your options are limited. The trader must accurately and unconditionally follow the trading system without making any attempt to adjust it to the market conditions. Making correction in any mechanical trading system in the process of the trade is almost impossible until and unless you are the developer of that trading system. This is one of the reasons why you need to develop your own trading system. Discover the 25 best trading systems. These trading systems have been developed by each person and have ROIs like 2000-3000% per month.

LEAP Options

British Pound is known to be a stable currency. Great Britain is a strong economy. But, Great Britain was finding it difficult to stay within the tight exchange rate band set by the European Monetary Union (EMU) in the early 1990s. One person who made history with options was George Soros who is famously known as the man who broke the Bank of England.

George Soros is a famous name in the world of investing. He is famous for his speculative attacks on currencies that he had the intuition of being intrinsically weak. He had always believed in contrarian investing. Contrarian investing means doing exactly opposite of what the crowd is doing. George Soros had this intuition that the Bank of England could be forced to devalue British Pound. So he bought call options on German Marks and put options on British Pound. He made a bet of $10 Billion by leveraging all the assets in his hedge fund. 

Bank of England had made a number of public statements regarding its intention of staying within the EMU. When George Soros made his bet on the intrinsic weakness of British Pound, other currency speculators followed suit and placed their bets too. This build up an immense selling pressure on the British Pound! Bank of England was brought to its knees as it was unable to sustain the immense selling pressure on the British Pound within a few days of the speculative attack on the British Pound. Bank of England was forced to devalue British Pound in a few short days.

When you a strong intuition, you should go for the big kill. George Soros made a cool $1 Billion profit on his bet in a matter of a few days. Can you make such a bet? Maybe not but this one example show the immense power options have if used correctly. Options are risky; there should be no doubt about it.

Trading options has become hot in recent years especially after the recent stock market crash. What are options? Options derive their value from the underlying asset or security on which the options contract is based. Options contract give you the right to buy or sell an underlying security like stocks, futures, commodities or currencies at a price before a certain date. This price is known as the Strike Price. This date is known as the Expiry Date. However, in European Style options you can only buy or sell on the expiry date not before that. Most people who trade options lose money, plain and simple.

Trading options without training is risky. You need to learn the Options Greeks. One of the important things that you need to learn while trading options is the importance of time factor. Time factor is very important when valuing an option. Further out the options contract is from expiration, you will have to pay a higher premium. As the options contract approaches the expiration date and if it is out of money, it loses its value very fast.

LEAP stands for long term equity anticipation. Have your heard about the LEAP options? So what are LEAP options? It basically means that the option is much like the regular option except that the timeframe to expire is greater than 1 year. LEAP options are basically long term options. Leap options can help you profit over the long haul. You can use LEAP options in options strategies like the covered calls, straddles, spreads and so on.

YouTube Preview ImageLEAP options can be incredibly profitable if used correctly. However, LEAP options are risky because the option writer usually demands a hefty premium for taking on the long term risk. The buyer of the LEAP options has the right to exercise the option prior to expiration should the price of the underlying stock move in the money. Long timeframe means that the possibility of the LEAP options moving in the money is always high hence a high LEAP options premium.

Far away from expiration, the higher the value of the options contract! Closer the out of money option is to expiration, faster its value drops. What this means is that the buyer of the options loses the premium that was paid for getting the right to buy or sell the underlying security. LEAP options can be a great trading vehicle for swing traders as they mitigate some of the time decay that is inherent in short term options. If you need to learn options trading than you should consider joining the Live Options Mastery Classes online at the Options University. Learn options trading from a former options floor trader for safer and better investing!

You will have to do a lot of research while selecting yours stocks for swing trading. Why not piggyback on the research done by wealthy fund managers and large financial firms. Name of the game is to find stocks that are not popular but have a great swing trading potential. Easier said than done! How do you find such stocks? Here is a very simple strategy that you can use to choose the hottest stocks best for swing trading. When a large financial firm builds an ETF, the first step is always to choose an index of stocks that is expected to outperform the market. The premise of the piggyback strategy is to use the large dollar research of the major financial firms to come up with new and fresh swing trading ideas. Discover the Quantum Stock Swing Trading Strategy!

ETFs are doing a roaring business these days. There are thousands of ETFs in the market now. New ETFs also get introduced in the market. ETFs have caught the imagination of the investing public. No doubt ETF investment is better than investing in a single stock. Large financial firms spend millions to choose the index on which they will base their ETF. The ETF is then based on this index of stocks. The price of the ETF then changes as the basket of stocks within the index moves. Why not piggyback on that research and save yourself a few millions? Cool, huh!

So what is this ETF piggyback strategy all about? How do you implement this ETF piggyback strategy? Have you been investing in ETFs before? No! Then you need to do some research to find the best performing ETFs. Your first step should be to analyze ETFs. You need to make a list of ETFs that have outperformed in the last 3 to 6 months. This will give you an idea where the big money is flowing and which ETFs have buying momentum behind them.

Mutual funds are supposed to be a safe investment. You can also piggyback mutual funds while picking stocks for your swing trading ideas. Now ETF piggyback strategy is still the best keeping in view the fact that only 20% of the mutual funds beat the passive benchmark over the long term. You can ride on the coat tails of fund managers who fall into this 20% category. However, ETFs are better than mutual funds as investment vehicles and in recent years have become highly popular with the investing public so stick with ETFs. After making your list of top 20, narrow it down to the five top performers and choose a few areas worth trading. Choose the best performing ETF in your opinion to begin with. Now you need to analyze the top ten holdings of that ETF.

How do you research an ETF? You can do it yourself or you can subscribe to the ETF Trend Trading newsletter of Big A, a former fund manager who recommends the hottest ETFs. If you want to do it yourself, just go to the website of the ETF. You can also use ETF connect.com. Etfconnect.com is a great resource for information on ETFs and closed end funds. With thousands of potential stocks to choose from, the piggyback trading strategy allows you as a swing trader to choose stocks that have a buying momentum behind them. What makes this trading strategy great is that it often generates fresh ideas for swing traders.

Investing in stocks that are well known and being actively recommended as hot investments is never a good idea. When information becomes public, it gets impounded into the market price immediately according to the Efficient Market Hypothesis. A great advantage of this piggyback strategy is that it can identify stocks that may not be household names to the average trader. With this strategy you will come across many stocks that may not be household names and have a great swing trading potential. ETFs can be utilized to find stocks for swing trading ideas that are based outside the US.

You will have a lot of option in choosing the right ETF for your investment. There are thousands of ETFs in the market now. Some are country specific, some are industry specific and some are market specific. The way to do that is to use the ETF piggyback strategy with either single country ETFs or regional ETFs. The single country ETFs invests 100% of their assets in one country. A good example can be the iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (EWW), an ETF that invests only in companies headquartered in Mexico.

You can choose industry specific as well as market specific ETFs as well. Country specific ETFs and region specific ETFs have been just used as an example to illustrate how to hedge your risk. Hedging your risk is what a good investment strategy is all about. Instead of putting all your eggs in one basket, you should try to diversify your investment. A regional ETF covers several countries concentrated in a region. The iShares S&P Latin America 40 ETF (ILF) invests in Brazil, Mexico and Chile. So if you want to find international stocks for your swing trading strategy than you should begin by picking the region or the specific country.

Are international stocks safe? You must be thinking why you need to think outside of US Stocks. International stocks also give you the ability to create some hedging strategies in combining US and non US Stocks into a pair trade in addition to volatility that you need as a swing trader. The traders who refuse to consider international stocks only hurt themselves because with the US in the mature business cycle, the real growth and volatility that you need as a swing trader can only come from international stocks.

Unless you understand Candlestick charting, you cant trade and invest effectively. Many options exist for the charting of currencies with the advancement of technology. There are several types of charts. The four main charting methods are:

1) Line Charts,

2) Point and Figure Charts,

3) Bar Charts, and

4) Candlestick charts.

The three charting methods pale in comparison with the candlestick charting for a number of reasons. One of the best features of candlestick charting is its visual appeal and readability. With a simple glance on the candlestick charts you can understand whats going on with the price of a currency pair. You can also tell whether the buyers or sellers have dominated a given day. You can also get a sense of how the price is trending with the candlestick charts. You can easily spot the opening and closing price of a currency pair on a candlestick charts. These price levels can be an important area of support and resistance for a given day.

Steve Nison is considered to be an authority on Candlestick Charting. He is the one who actually popularized Candlestick Charting in the Western Trading Circles. If you want to learn the same Candlestick Charting Secrets that Steve teaches to the top institutions plus also want to know how he spots early reversals to catch big moves then you should subscribe to his Candlestick Charting & Strategies FREE Video Newsletter just now! This FREE Video Newsletter by Steve Nison maybe the best Candlestick Training you will ever receive!

YouTube Preview ImageCandlestick charts also feature specific patterns that you can identify and use to decide when its best time to buy, sell or wait on a trade. Why should traders choose candlestick charts over other types of charts when analyzing price action of currency markets? Trading is becoming more and more complex. The need for a consistent and dynamic charting method is more important than ever. Traders need easy to read charts that allow them to make quick decisions and efficiently analyze patterns.

YouTube Preview ImageCandlestick charting offers those benefits and many more. The following four pieces of information are combined to make a candlestick:

Price on the Open: The price at which a particular currency pair opens on a given period is the first piece of information used to create a candlestick.

High Price: The highest price reached during that given period corresponds to the top of the candlesticks wick.

Low Price: The bottom of the candlesticks wick corresponds to the lowest price that a currency pair reaches during a period.

Closing Price: The closing price of the currency pair at the end of a given period is the last piece of information used to create a candlestick. Depending on the price action, the closing price can be the top edge of the candles body if the price action is bullish. It can be the bottom edge of the candles body if the price action is bearish.

YouTube Preview ImageCandlesticks that represent bullish price action appear white on the chart and candlesticks that represent bearish price action appear black. You can gain far more insight into a periods trading by looking at the candlestick than you can by looking at another type of charting tool. You can tell right away that the up day has a white candle. Similarly the down day has a black candle. That simple difference alone clearly reveals the nature of price action that took place during that period and can be very helpful to you.

YouTube Preview ImageCandlestick charts quickly clue you on the type of buying and selling thats been going on during a given period. Candlestick charting also tell you where it may occur again. Download your free 82 page pdf Candlestick Charting Guide with strategy flash cards now! 

A DecisionBar is a specific candlestick on a candlestick chart, or a specific bar on a bar chart, that presents a natural trading opportunity. When using DecisionBars, the timing and direction of potential trades are pre-determined. All that is left for you to do is evaluate the risk and determine if you wish to take the trade. DecisionBars are so powerful that even if you took every trade offered, you would make a profit on most stocks with reasonable volatility. Discover this DecisionBar Trading Software by Les Schwartz! You can trade any liquid security: stocks, options, ETFs, futures (commodities), or currencies (Forex).

Candlestick Guide

Download Candlestick Guide (82 pages) free after you finish reading this article. This candlestick guide is a complementary gift for you from Options University and is comprehensive. Candlesticks have become popular in the Western trading community especially the United States in the past decade. However, candlestick charting methods had been developed by Japanese rice traders hundreds of years back.

Internet made possible the availability of online trading to retail trading. The advent of internet has leveled the playing field for traders whether they trade stocks, futures, options, commodities, precious metals or currencies. In the last two decades there have been seismic changes in the way people used to trade. Access to the market is now only one mouse click away. Trade just by clicking your mouse!

The opening of retail trading especially in the currency markets that was previously only open to large players like big banks and corporations has been a revolution. Market information is now in most cases freely available online. Internet has made commission rates dramatically lower. The result is that a whole generation of new traders and investors want to try their luck beating the market. You can now demo trade with virtual money to develop and hone your trading skills.

YouTube Preview ImageDid you attend the last Steve Nison Candlestick Charting Technique webinar? Now, you should. Steve is the master of candlesticks and you can learn a lot from attending his candlestick. I am a great fan of candlesticks charting and I have seen many traders both new and professionals becoming die hard fans of candlestick charting. Why? Because candlestick charting is the best tool available. Can you beat the market? It depends if you are using the right tools.

On your trading platform provided by most of the online brokers you will find various types of charts. There are many forms of charting techniques that have been developed over time. Why candlestick charting is superior to other forms of charting like the line charts, bar charts or point and figure charts? One of the best features of candlestick charting is its visual appeal and readability. You can glance at a candlestick chart and quickly gain an understanding of what’s going on with the price action in the market.

YouTube Preview ImageKnowing support and resistance is very important for traders. Opening and closing price levels can be a very important area of support and resistance from day to day. You can easily spot and opening and closing price of a security or currency on a candlestick chart. Have you ever heard names like Harami, hanging man, doji etc? Well these are the names of a few candlestick patterns. There are certain specific candlestick patterns that can help you identify when is the best time to buy, sell or wait on a trade or investment. This information can be extremely useful for short term traders like day traders and swing traders.

Learning how to spot these candlestick patterns is very important for you. In order to trade and invest effectively using candlestick charts you need to understand these candlestick patterns. These candlestick patterns can be a real boon to your trading and you can combine them with other technical indicators for even more reliable results.

A trader needs to keep abreast of what is happening in the market. Many different types of candlestick patterns can tell you what may lie ahead in the market. Patterns appear on the candlestick charts as simple, single stick occurrences or complex multi stick formations.

Entry and exit are the two most important things in any trade. You may use the information provided by candlestick patterns to decide when to get into a trade, when to get out of a trade or even when to hang unto a trade you are already in. This information can be highly valuable in knowing that the prevailing trend might reverse or continue. 

A DecisionBar is a specific candlestick on a candlestick chart, or a specific bar on a bar chart, that presents a natural trading opportunity. When using DecisionBars, the timing and direction of potential trades are pre-determined. All that is left for you to do is evaluate the risk and determine if you wish to take the trade. DecisionBars are so powerful that even if you took every trade offered, you would make a profit on most stocks with reasonable volatility. Discover this DecisionBar Trading Software by Les Schwartz! You can trade any liquid security: stocks, options, ETFs, futures (commodities), or currencies (Forex).

Now you can download your candlestick guide. You don’t need to waste your money on buying a guide because this candlestick guide is a complementary gift for you from the Options University. This is the best candlestick guide in the market. Download your 82 page candlestick guide here complete with strategy flash cards all free.

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