Ninja Trading

In today’s article you’ll find tips about managing an Options Portfolio based on Volatility in the stock market. We’ll explore adjustment concepts that can be applied to any type of option strategy such as the famous Iron Condor, the Butterfly Spread, Calendar Spreads as well as all the others.

As this is being written in October of 2008 the VIX is as high as it’s been. Look at a 5 year chart and see where we are. This level of volatility has made options quite expensive. Before we make any adjustments to our portfolios, we always think about the volatility. Where is it now and where is it going? Should we be buying or selling options at this moment?

Most option traders make the mistake of obtaining OTM Calls and Puts to change their portfolio at which time the volatility is moving down, and they don’t see why their options lose worth so quickly. Each retail option trader should comprehend how volatility affects an option strategy to create intellectual changes to their positions.

A TYPICAL OPTION POSITION THAT MIGHT NEED AN ADJUSTMENT

For instance, let’s say we are in an Iron Condor and the stock market is trending up near the short strike, and we are getting to the instant where we need to formulate an adjustment to supervise our possible danger. If this is the instance, subsequently the IV may possibly have dropped a small amount. We pull up the chart on volatility of the underlying, and we investigate the IV and see it is oversold and will soon rise again.

There are many option strategies and morphing concepts, so how can we make a good decision on what to do in this case? A critical step in the decision making is graphing the current volatility inside the options market. We usually use the VIX and RVX. Is the volatility bottomed and increasing? Is it at a peak and coming back down? Is it barely moving? What is happening in the options market and where is the volatility in relationship to its history? We additionally need to study the technical analysis of our traded asset. Where is the price headed? We have to comprehend Vega and the other option Greeks to accomplish high probability changes to our positions. In today’s example, if the volatility prediction is up, it would make sense to add some positive Vega to our portfolio.

There is really an unlimited number of ways to create a positive Vega position, but the most common positive Vega spreads are Debit Spreads, Short Butterflies, Broken Wing Butterflies (OTM), Short Condors and Calendars. In our mentoring course we discuss option strategies and adjustments in detail.

To conclude, if the stock market moves against you when you are in an option spread, then always study the IV of your underlying asset. Knowing what is going on with volatility can really help you make better decisions on managing your portfolio. This will definitely reduce your exposure to risk while increase your chances of being a profitable trader.